Management of solar energy availability estimation using machine learning models

Authors

  • Fernando V. Mucomole Universidade Eduardo Mondlane - UEM, Moçambique
  • Carlos A. S. Silva Universidade Eduardo Mondlane - UEM, Moçambique
  • Lourenço L. Magaia Universidade Eduardo Mondlane - UEM, Moçambique

Keywords:

management, availability, solar energy, estimation, machine learning.

Abstract

Due to factors of different nature, energy upon arrival at the surface of the earth may appear intermittent, creating an obstacle to its use. Motivated by the need for greater profitability of solar energy, primarily for the production of photovoltaic energy. An estimate of the availability of solar energy was managed on a short measurement scale, to understand the real behavior of solar energy in the town of Pomene. Solar energy was collected in 2014, for 12 months, with a daily period and a 10-minute measurement interval. Using machine learning models such as random forest, regressive Kriking, and artificial neutral networks, solar energy was predicted. The predicted energy management shows the predominance of full sun with intermediate classification, and of course, the power of the existence of energy for use, in addition, it was concluded that the random forest model presents lower prediction error and enhances the APM models. for greater analysis, more energy production efficiency.

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References

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Mucomole, F. V., Silva, C. S. A., & Magaia, L. L. (2024). Quantifying the Variability of Solar Energy Fluctuations at High–Frequencies through Short-Scale Measurements in the East–Channel of Mozambique Conditions. American Journal of Energy and Natural Resources, 3(1), Artigo 1. https://doi.org/10.54536/ajenr.v3i1.2569

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Published

2025-07-01

How to Cite

Mucomole, F. V. ., Silva, C. A. S. ., & Magaia, L. L. . (2025). Management of solar energy availability estimation using machine learning models. ALBA - ISFIC RESEARCH AND SCIENCE JOURNAL, 2(7), 823–834. Retrieved from https://alba.ac.mz/index.php/alba/article/view/945